Simon Sagerer - NineSquared

Simon Sagerer

Simon Sagerer is a director in NineSquared’s Sydney office. He is an experienced transport economist and economic forecaster. He has been involved in a wide range of studies entailing business case preparation, cost-benefit analysis, due diligence, expert witness statements, economic and land use impact analysis, and wider economic benefits estimation in various roles in KPMG, Synergies and ACIL Allen Consulting. 

Simon specialises on tailored demand forecasts to inform pricing reviews and strategies for regulated assets. Recently he has been exploring the factors driving electric vehicles uptake to develop localised fuel and energy demand forecasts for infrastructure planning. Simon has also developed numerous bespoke economic impact and forecasting models for in-house or client use. The purpose of these projects was generally to package up complex analytical frameworks utilising econometric, statistical and spatial analysis techniques into easy-to-use and easy-to-update tools making them accessible to a broad audience. 

Recent experience

Corridor study for a fuel pipeline to Western Sydney  

As the project director, Simon led a consortium of KPMG, GHD and ACIL Allen Consulting in the preparation of a corridor study for a fuel pipeline to Western Sydney The aim of this study was to consider all factettes of relevant developments in Western Sydney and investigate the provision of pipelines for both aviation and non-aviation fuels to the Airport, the Aerotropolis and the Western Sydney region. Building on TfNSW’s transport modelling and combining a range of engineering, GIS analysis and economic modelling techniques the study has succeeded in identifying possible corridor options including locations for storage and distribution hubs that maximise the economic benefits of a possible pipeline development. Results are scheduled for a review by cabinet later in the year. 

Accelerating local electric vehicle uptake where it matters 

Simon developed a national electric vehicle uptake forecast model which was the basis for KPMG’s Accelerating local electric vehicle uptake where it matters publication for which he was the lead author. The paper investigates expected EV uptake in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane at a local suburb level. It found that major Australian cities have a large urban footprint and how people use their car differs between the inner city and outer suburbs. Consequently, the impact of EVs will depend in large part on the personal preferences and choices people make when owning and using a car.  

Independent review of the prices at Cairns Marlin Marina 

Simon was the project director for an independent review of the prices at Cairns Marlin Marina. The study drew on comprehensive stakeholder feedback and an independent market assessment to ascertain if the price structure proposed by Ports North reflects fair market prices and meets commercial requirements. 

South Australia Export Supply Chain Investigation 

Simon led the economic analysis and forecasting component of the South Australia Export Supply Chain Investigation to better understand the supply chain for the movement of bulk freight from origin to port and potential solutions to improve the current supply chain inefficiencies.  

Economic contribution of Sydney’s toll roads 

Simon assessed the economic contribution in value added terms of toll roads in Sydney and estimated scenarios without the toll road network as well as a delayed development.  

Port Botany container freight mode choice model review 

Simon was the lead reviewer in a review of TfNSW’s model for predicting road/rail mode shares for container freight moving to and from Port Botany. The engagement tested the model’s alignment with a best practice conceptual framework, its statistical robustness as well as key aspects of the technical implementation